HD 7 Overview
Dean has 53% name ID overall and 38% favorables. In the parts of the district that were in his old district, he’s at 74% name ID and 55% favorable.
Dean Image
53% Name ID
38% Favorable
4% Unfavorable
Williams has just 13% name ID and basically no definition.
Williams Image
13% Name ID
4% Favorable
2% Unfavorable
Dean’s hard re-elect of 31% isn’t insurmountable, but it’s also not a sign of any real weakness.
Dean Re-Elect
31% Re-Elect
27% Consider Another
4% Replace
Dean is over 50% on the ballot and Williams only gets 15%
Ballot
55% Dean
15% Williams
30% Undecided
HD 11 Overview
Clardy has just 51% Name ID, though his favorables are solid. None of the challengers break 20% name ID.
Clardy’s hard re-elect of 30% is okay, but usually under 30% is when we start thinking of an incumbent as weak so he’s right on the border.
Clardy Re-Elect
30% Re-elect
25% Consider another
5% Replace
40% Don’t Know
Clardy is under 50%, but none of his opponents have clear strength overall.
Ballot
46% Clardy
7% Williams
6% Caldwell
4% Hale
37% Undecided
Clardy has majority support in the areas that were in his old district, but just 55% isn’t overwhelming. He is at just 20% in the new areas and Mark Williams almost outdoes him in those areas.